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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.73vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.75vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+6.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+4.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+2.09vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.65+1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-2.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.86-2.99vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-1.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.71vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.93vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.41-0.97vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.79-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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3.73Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.75Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.47Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.01University of South Florida1.860.0%1st Place
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9.39North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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14.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.59Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.0% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 6.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 21.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 53.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.