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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+2.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.65vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.94vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+6.81vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.62vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+2.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-3.60vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.86-2.29vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.60-2.18vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-4.14vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-3.54vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.18-7.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-4.51vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.09-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.81George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.26North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.4Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.9Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.86Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.46Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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15.15University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 22.9% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Emily Allen | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 9.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 25.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Emily Smith | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.