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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.42vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86+3.42vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-2.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28+3.78vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-2.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+0.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-3.32vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.86+0.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.00vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-3.44vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-2.48vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.73-6.96vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.60-7.45vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.41-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.78Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.4Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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14.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.52Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 23.4% | 22.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Bridget Green | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 19.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.