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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+1.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+6.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+6.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+5.73vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.26vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+1.34vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.60vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79+2.77vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-1.29vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.43vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.71vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.06-7.32vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.86-7.49vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.86-4.58vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.41-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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9.24Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.64Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.28North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.77Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.71College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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14.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.22Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.51University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 20.8% | 21.6% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 23.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.