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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+5.71vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.51vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+4.49vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+3.59vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.86+5.51vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+2.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.40vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.27vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.86-2.11vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-8.13vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-5.42vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.75-5.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.53vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-4.08vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.09-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.78Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.59Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.89University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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14.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.92Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Emily Allen | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 8.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.9% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Squires | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 24.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 11.5% |
| Emily Smith | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.