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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+7.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+8.28vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+6.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+6.13vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+7.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.78vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.79+1.26vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.19-2.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.80-0.88vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.60vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.45-1.75vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.01-1.06vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.42-9.94vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-4.88vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.99-3.67vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.85-7.12vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Bowdoin College1.845.6%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston1.263.3%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University1.734.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston College1.363.4%1st Place
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12.32George Washington University1.072.8%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.0%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.1912.7%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University1.806.6%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.178.3%1st Place
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12.6University of Pennsylvania1.162.1%1st Place
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10.25Dartmouth College1.453.9%1st Place
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11.94Tufts University1.012.6%1st Place
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4.06Yale University2.4221.1%1st Place
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10.12Roger Williams University1.314.3%1st Place
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12.33University of South Florida0.992.7%1st Place
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9.88Brown University1.853.6%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University1.182.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.7% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.1% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% |
| Laura Hamilton | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.