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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.42+7.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+2.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.86vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.72+5.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+2.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+2.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-1.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.84-1.64vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.50vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.54vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.02-6.68vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.57-4.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.00vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56Fordham University1.424.9%1st Place
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4.92College of Charleston2.3816.7%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University1.838.2%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island1.054.1%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College0.722.5%1st Place
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8.18Yale University1.595.5%1st Place
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9.52Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.229.3%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.847.8%1st Place
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9.5Salve Regina University0.464.6%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.2%1st Place
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6.32Tulane University2.029.5%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University1.573.6%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.5%1st Place
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11.91Maine Maritime Academy0.481.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Olin Guck | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Mason Stang | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Jack Derry | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Zachary York | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.