Race 24B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.6% 19.3% 17.0% 11.0% 10.3% 8.7% 4.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Sky Adams 7.6% 9.4% 10.4% 10.5% 7.0% 11.3% 9.7% 9.4% 8.4% 7.8% 6.1% 2.4%
Kelsey Wheeler 13.7% 9.6% 12.0% 11.4% 11.4% 10.0% 9.2% 9.5% 6.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
Carolyn Naughton 8.5% 11.6% 9.3% 13.0% 10.3% 7.3% 11.0% 8.0% 9.3% 6.8% 3.4% 1.5%
Devon Rohde 5.3% 6.8% 5.7% 5.7% 7.7% 9.1% 8.4% 8.4% 10.5% 11.8% 14.2% 6.4%
Kimberly Kaull 10.1% 9.9% 9.3% 8.3% 10.4% 11.2% 9.5% 10.5% 7.7% 6.0% 5.6% 1.5%
Caitlin Watson 7.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.5% 7.7% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 10.9% 8.8% 4.0%
Rachel Perry 5.5% 4.8% 4.0% 6.3% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.7% 14.2% 17.0% 10.6%
Kate Levinson 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 6.7% 8.5% 8.6% 8.3% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 14.2% 5.1%
Laura Dunphy 8.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.0% 9.2% 8.4% 10.7% 9.9% 10.9% 7.4% 6.7% 2.7%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.3% 7.1% 8.8% 8.8% 10.0% 8.7% 9.7% 8.8% 9.8% 11.6% 6.1% 3.3%
Paige Fagan 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 3.3% 5.4% 15.7% 61.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.