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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.28+9.96vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+7.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.33vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+7.56vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58-0.24vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.86+5.43vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+2.81vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+0.29vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-3.21vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.36vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.86-4.63vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-5.28vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.46-8.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-8.29vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.09-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.96Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.55North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.56Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.81George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.29Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.79Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.37University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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15.16University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
| Emily Allen | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 26.4% |
| Torrey Chisari | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.