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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.47vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+10.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.25vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+4.97vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+5.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.57vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-1.37vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.65+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-0.95vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75-2.09vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.34-5.33vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09+2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.86-6.76vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-5.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.61vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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12.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.97Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.1North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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6.67Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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15.07University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.24University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.74Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Grace Squires | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 40.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 26.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.