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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.24vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+3.44vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65+4.94vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.16+2.00vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+3.04vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26+3.58vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.75+0.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.86-1.55vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.75vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.86-2.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-6.76vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.79-3.49vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.41-1.09vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.24U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.44Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.94North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.04Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.45University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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12.51Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.91University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Alice Schmid | 8.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Grace Squires | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 15.8% | 52.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 21.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.