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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+4.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.46+6.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+0.74vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+3.75vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.75+3.50vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.79+2.42vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.24-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.62+1.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.79vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-0.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-5.69vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.23vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-11.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.05North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.75George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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11.42Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.89University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.18University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.74Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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5.79Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.0% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.