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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+8.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+4.74vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.75+6.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.17vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-1.28vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.79+3.34vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+2.37vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-0.04vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.37+2.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.62-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.63vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-5.93vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.21vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.25vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.50-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.34Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.37Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.96George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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13.01Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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14.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 22.1% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 15.5% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 35.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.