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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+7.85vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+3.76vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.51vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.37+6.93vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-1.36vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81+3.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.80vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-4.03vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.43+1.09vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-4.36vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.62-2.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.75-4.27vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.50-8.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.85University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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6.76College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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12.93Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.58Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.64North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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14.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 23.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Ava Farley | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.