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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+5.79vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+1.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+6.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.55vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+0.77vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46+2.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+2.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.81vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.62+2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.75+0.71vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.37+1.25vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.06vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-8.49vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.79-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.24vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.50-8.32vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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3.56Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.77Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.83North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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13.25Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.34Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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14.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.1% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Ava Farley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Katie Coughlin | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.