← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.97+4.63vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.18+2.97vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.93+2.68vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.09+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.74-1.34vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.82-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.30-0.71vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.99vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.74-3.90vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.53-4.07vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.63Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
4.97Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
5.68University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.01Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
-
3.66Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
-
5.95Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.29Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.1Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.93Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 10.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.6% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.