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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.83+5.82vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.02+4.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84+3.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+2.65vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+2.52vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-0.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+0.84vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.72+1.03vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.90vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.57-2.61vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.39vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.48-2.23vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.97-5.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Tufts University1.839.4%1st Place
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6.14Tulane University2.0210.5%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston2.3815.2%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University1.847.0%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.7%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University1.426.0%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.229.0%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.6%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Maritime College0.721.9%1st Place
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8.1Yale University1.595.9%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University1.573.9%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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11.77Maine Maritime Academy0.482.3%1st Place
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9.59Boston University0.973.8%1st Place
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9.52Salve Regina University0.464.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Mason Stang | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Olin Guck | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 17.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Zachary York | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 25.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.