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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+4.72vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+3.77vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+8.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.84vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-0.34vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.24+1.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.62+1.21vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-5.98vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-3.42vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.79-2.83vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.43-3.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.75-5.30vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.79Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.66Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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8.78North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.58George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.17Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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14.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.4% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.