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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+7.92vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+9.20vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.75+5.52vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.11-3.58vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.08+2.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-3.23vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-5.37vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.24-2.16vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.74-1.65vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.53-2.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-6.04vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.37-3.04vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.01-6.43vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University3.110.3%1st Place
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10.18Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.63Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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12.96Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.57Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 25.9% | 20.6% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Ava Farley | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.