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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+4.69vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+4.60vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+5.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+5.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.84vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62+4.99vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.75+2.51vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-0.13vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46-2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.61vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.01-2.69vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.01-7.64vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.53-2.73vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-4.41vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.37-4.01vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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3.47Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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10.08Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.81North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.99Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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14.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 22.8% | 21.3% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Ava Farley | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Laura Smith | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 16.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.