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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.54vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+7.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.75+8.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+2.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+1.42vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.37+6.85vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08+3.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.86vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.32-3.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+1.68vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.23vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.62-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.53-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.24-5.56vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.44vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.81-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-11.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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12.85Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.14Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.01North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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14.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 23.7% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.5% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% |
| Ava Farley | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 34.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.