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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.55vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+7.85vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.58vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+1.49vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+1.49vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.77vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46+0.57vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.62+2.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.24-1.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.74-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.75-1.67vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.37-1.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-6.07vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.08-5.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.36vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.53-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.49Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.57North Carolina State University1.460.1%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.89Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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12.61Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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10.26Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.7% | 20.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Laura Smith | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 35.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.