← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.59vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.99+1.73vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.04+3.58vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.32+1.46vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.22+4.46vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.99vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.29-1.39vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.74+3.29vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.79+2.27vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University0.81+1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.24-1.45vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.46-3.05vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.62-1.28vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.37-2.24vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.75-4.50vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.53-4.61vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.59University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
3.73Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
-
6.58College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.46Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.46George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.61Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
11.29Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.27Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.38Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
9.55University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
-
8.95North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
11.72University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.39U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
12.76Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
-
14.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 19.2% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% |
| Ava Farley | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.