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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.61vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+1.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+2.70vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+5.46vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.71vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.46+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.24+1.46vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+2.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.74+1.67vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32-5.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.74vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.12vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.79-3.08vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.37-2.22vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.53-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.75-5.51vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.62-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.74Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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5.7Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.4College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.6North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.1%1st Place
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10.92Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.78Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 18.9% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 35.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Laura Smith | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.