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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.67vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+3.71vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+5.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.75+6.41vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99-2.36vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+0.94vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.46-0.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.74+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.53+0.63vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-0.29vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.62-2.41vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.08-4.86vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.81-4.65vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.22-7.27vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.71Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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3.64Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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5.69Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.64North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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10.14Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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14.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 22.1% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ava Farley | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.7% |
| Laura Smith | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.