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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+4.08vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+1.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+2.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.30+1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.97-2.54vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53-2.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-0.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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3.65Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.3% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 10.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 5.9% |
| Laura Dunphy | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 62.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.