← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kelsey Wheeler 12.1% 11.3% 11.4% 12.0% 11.3% 9.5% 9.3% 8.4% 6.3% 4.4% 3.3% 0.7%
Marlena Fauer 20.3% 20.8% 13.8% 13.5% 10.4% 7.4% 5.1% 4.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sky Adams 9.3% 7.4% 9.3% 9.5% 7.7% 10.6% 9.7% 11.2% 9.4% 8.4% 6.0% 1.5%
Kimberly Kaull 7.9% 10.5% 11.3% 10.0% 9.9% 10.6% 10.6% 8.3% 7.9% 6.4% 5.6% 1.0%
Rachel Perry 4.1% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 7.1% 7.2% 6.8% 8.1% 11.2% 12.0% 18.6% 10.5%
Kate Levinson 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 8.5% 10.5% 14.0% 16.0% 5.9%
Laura Dunphy 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 9.4% 8.5% 9.4% 11.4% 8.6% 7.6% 6.7% 3.3%
Carolyn Naughton 11.2% 11.0% 10.6% 9.4% 9.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 4.5% 1.3%
Caitlin Watson 5.4% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 8.9% 3.6%
Devon Rohde 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 7.5% 6.8% 8.8% 8.6% 8.9% 12.7% 10.9% 11.3% 6.7%
Paige Fagan 1.5% 0.9% 1.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.9% 3.7% 6.2% 13.5% 62.5%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.3% 7.0% 8.7% 8.9% 10.5% 9.2% 8.3% 10.3% 8.8% 11.8% 5.2% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.