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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+6.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.05+6.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84+3.61vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57+4.23vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+0.20vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38-1.76vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.72vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.97+0.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.02vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.50vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.48-0.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.42-4.47vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-2.98vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.59-7.00vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.83-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.7%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.2210.8%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University1.847.1%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University1.575.0%1st Place
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6.2Tulane University2.029.7%1st Place
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5.24College of Charleston2.3813.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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9.56Boston University0.974.2%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.1%1st Place
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9.5Salve Regina University0.464.2%1st Place
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11.76Maine Maritime Academy0.481.8%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University1.426.8%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
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8.0Yale University1.596.9%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.838.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ulmer | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Mason Stang | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Olin Guck | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 24.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 17.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.