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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+3.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+3.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.19+5.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.74+6.45vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46+2.77vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+2.61vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.99-4.33vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24+0.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-0.66vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.08-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.62+0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.75-1.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.30vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.01-4.53vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.32-10.42vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.53-4.50vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.37-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.8Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.64College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.45Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.77North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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3.67Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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10.41Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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14.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.47Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.58Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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12.5University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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12.77Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 23.5% | 19.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 32.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.