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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+7.95vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.37+11.26vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+6.97vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+2.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-0.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.86vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.32-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.49vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-5.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.24-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.62+1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.53+0.77vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.08-2.91vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74-2.70vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.01-4.44vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-6.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.31vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.75-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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13.26Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.67Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.69Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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3.7Stanford University2.990.2%1st Place
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9.85University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin0.530.0%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.56Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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14.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Laura Smith | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 12.6% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Megan Geith | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 35.3% |
| Katie Coughlin | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.