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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.76vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+5.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+3.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+4.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+4.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+2.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.79vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-5.42vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.12+4.10vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-5.99vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.26vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-6.54vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.46vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.97-4.34vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.44Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.79Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.58Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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15.1Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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12.66Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 19.5% | 36.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.7% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.