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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.49+9.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+3.49vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+1.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-0.10vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-2.15vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-2.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+1.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.15+0.20vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-2.87vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-3.70vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.97-3.35vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.12-1.88vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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4.57Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.26Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.03Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.65Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.12Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Grace Bray | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 35.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.