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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+5.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.39vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37+3.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+5.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+1.55vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.97+4.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.41vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.65vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-0.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.23-7.34vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.33vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.30-3.72vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-5.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-1.77vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.18Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.39Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.91Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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4.66Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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11.67University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.93Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.7% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 37.8% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.