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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+4.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+2.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+2.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.73vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+1.16vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.96vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-1.54vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.97vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.90+1.73vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-1.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-0.99vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.06vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-2.63vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.12-1.00vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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4.57Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.16Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.71Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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10.96Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.01Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.37Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.0Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 31.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.