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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+3.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+7.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.15vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-2.60vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.37-0.94vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.12+5.97vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+0.92vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.84vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-1.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-2.63vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.99vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-8.24vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.90-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-1.88vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.97-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.4Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.97Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.92Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.53Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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12.22Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.6% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 32.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 34.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.