← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+5.73vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.75+3.97vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.57+7.36vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.23+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.99vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.03+2.42vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.91-1.65vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.16vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.47-2.29vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.49+0.69vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.48vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.37-4.57vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University0.12+1.78vs Predicted
-
14Boston University1.44-3.61vs Predicted
-
15Florida State University0.97-2.63vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii1.15-4.21vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.02-4.64vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont0.08-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.73Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.97Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.36Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
4.42Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
-
7.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.42Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.35Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
6.71Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.69Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
12.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.43Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
14.78Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.39Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.37Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.79University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.36Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.91University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 18.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 32.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.