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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.91+4.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+6.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.63vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+4.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.86vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+3.43vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-3.66vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.62vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-2.60vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-0.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-4.94vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.12+1.85vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.15-3.30vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.97-3.49vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-4.64vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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10.62Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.4Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.3Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.85Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.51Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 17.1% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 33.1% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.7% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.