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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+6.17vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.11vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.42+4.29vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38-0.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.57+3.13vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.83-1.36vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.02-2.81vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.64vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.20vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.59-4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-3.22vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.10-1.49vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.44vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Roger Williams University1.848.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.4%1st Place
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6.11Brown University2.229.3%1st Place
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8.29Fordham University1.426.0%1st Place
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4.97College of Charleston2.3815.6%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University1.574.5%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.64Tufts University1.838.9%1st Place
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6.19Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
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9.36Salve Regina University0.464.3%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College0.723.0%1st Place
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7.9Yale University1.595.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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12.51Boston University0.101.4%1st Place
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11.56Maine Maritime Academy0.481.8%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Mason Stang | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.6% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 31.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 20.2% |
| Jack Derry | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.