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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University2.56+2.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+0.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.40vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00-1.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-0.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.29-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.68-3.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.61Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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3.6Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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3.95Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.5% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Urska Kosir | 19.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| William Simon | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 22.1% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.4% |
| Martin McDonald | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.