← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Timothy Harding 9.9% 12.7% 11.3% 12.8% 12.7% 12.9% 15.0% 12.7%
Andrew Tamblyn 18.5% 19.1% 14.0% 15.5% 12.3% 9.3% 7.5% 3.8%
Urska Kosir 19.8% 15.7% 18.4% 12.2% 12.8% 10.3% 7.0% 3.8%
Cameron Fraser 15.3% 17.0% 14.5% 13.0% 12.2% 13.3% 8.1% 6.6%
William Simon 5.9% 7.2% 9.3% 11.3% 9.8% 13.1% 19.4% 24.0%
Christopher Remeika 8.4% 8.0% 9.7% 11.6% 12.3% 11.7% 16.2% 22.1%
Michael Sturges 11.7% 11.7% 12.0% 12.1% 13.2% 13.6% 14.3% 11.4%
Martin McDonald 10.5% 8.6% 10.8% 11.5% 14.7% 15.8% 12.5% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.