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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.60vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+5.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+1.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+0.88vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+4.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+3.54vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55-1.56vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-0.62vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.66vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-0.63vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.68vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-1.94vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.82vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-2.55vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.12-0.91vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.15-5.03vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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7.39Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.74Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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12.45Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.09Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 15.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Brook Wood | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% |
| Grace Bray | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 33.9% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.