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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+6.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+6.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+1.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+1.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.98vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+3.29vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.37-0.82vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.49+1.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.91-4.44vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-4.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-0.43vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.26vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.97-1.84vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.120.00vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-1.81vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.44-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.29Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.18Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.48Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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12.16Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.0Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Grace Bray | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 32.5% |
| Brook Wood | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 36.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.