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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+3.68vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.49+7.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.72vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+1.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+2.38vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-2.87vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.07-1.76vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-5.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-0.72vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.00vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.90-2.54vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.12-1.07vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.97-4.63vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.81Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.14Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.38Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.28Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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9.67Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
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14.93Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.37Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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14.84University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 32.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.