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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+7.26vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+8.75vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+2.47vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+2.45vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+1.84vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.45vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+2.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.30+2.88vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.49+1.15vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.10vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-4.68vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.90vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.96vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-6.19vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.08-0.95vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.12-2.03vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.90-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.75Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.47Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.84Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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12.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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12.19Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.97Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Hawaii0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brook Wood | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 34.3% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 33.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.