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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.75+4.03vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+4.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+6.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+0.64vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+2.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+3.31vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.85vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+0.86vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.97+1.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-0.35vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.12+1.90vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-7.62vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.98vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.37-8.73vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.15-5.01vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Dartmouth College3.230.2%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.68Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.59Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.65Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.9Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.27Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 16.5% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 33.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.