← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+4.85vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.47+4.76vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.49+7.65vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.57+5.97vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.91+0.14vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.92vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.44+3.54vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.97+4.29vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.07-0.87vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.03-1.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.08+4.11vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.85vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-1.91vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University2.37-7.24vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.55-8.73vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii1.15-4.22vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.30-5.74vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University0.12-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.85Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.76Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
10.65Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
9.97Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.14Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
-
10.54Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.29Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.13Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
8.49Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
15.11University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
11.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.76Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
6.27Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.78University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.26Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.84Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 37.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Grace Bray | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.