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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+5.80vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+6.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.91+2.24vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37+2.91vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+4.98vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75-0.35vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.91vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07+0.04vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+2.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30+1.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.08vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.49-1.23vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-2.58vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-7.81vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-2.69vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.15-4.24vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.08-1.84vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.24Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.65Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.42Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.31Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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15.16University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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14.86Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Heather Kerns | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 37.9% |
| Grace Bray | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 19.5% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.