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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+4.63vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+6.19vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+6.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.97vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+0.10vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.97+5.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.07-1.17vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+0.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.16vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.15-1.61vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.40vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.37-8.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.02-3.93vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.12-2.06vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.19Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.12Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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11.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Hawaii1.150.0%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.07Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.94Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.82University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 18.6% | 34.8% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.