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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.57+8.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+5.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+4.42vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+2.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.83+1.65vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.72+4.84vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05+1.59vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.38-4.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-4.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.10-0.58vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.59-6.22vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.46-5.82vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Old Dominion University1.573.8%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University1.848.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.1%1st Place
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6.09Tulane University2.0210.8%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University1.838.2%1st Place
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10.84SUNY Maritime College0.722.6%1st Place
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8.41Fordham University1.425.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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4.96College of Charleston2.3815.2%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.8%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.2210.0%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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12.42Boston University0.101.4%1st Place
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7.78Yale University1.597.3%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University0.464.7%1st Place
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11.59Maine Maritime Academy0.482.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Purrington | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Mason Stang | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 31.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Zachary York | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.