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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.68+1.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.41vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.29+0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-2.10vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-2.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-2.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.59Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.29Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.9Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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4.89Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 19.6% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.2% |
| Urska Kosir | 19.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% |
| William Simon | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 25.9% |
| Martin McDonald | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.