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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+7.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+4.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.93vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07-0.65vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55-0.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+0.37vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99+3.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62+0.14vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.37-3.27vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.49vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.17vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.38-6.62vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-1.34vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.09-3.84vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.48vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.80-0.62vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.21-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.51Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.35Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.49Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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6.73Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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12.52Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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16.38Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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13.88Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 19.1% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 59.2% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.