← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.55+5.30vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.62+7.63vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.39vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.52+5.74vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.13+2.43vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.92-1.08vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.07-2.60vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.30-1.22vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.37-2.44vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University0.99+2.10vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University0.70+1.93vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.38-5.15vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.21+1.22vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.51vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii1.09-3.54vs Predicted
-
16Boston University0.72-3.14vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.57-3.58vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.3Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.63Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.74Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.43Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.92Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
4.4Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.56Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
12.1Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.93Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
-
6.85Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
14.22Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
10.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
-
12.86Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
13.42University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
12.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 27.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.