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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+6.14vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.55+4.25vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+1.55vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37+1.63vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.62+3.45vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+2.86vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+2.89vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.99+0.97vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.70+1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.09-1.61vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.21+0.18vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.25vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.05vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.16vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.38-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.55Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.97Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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13.2Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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14.18Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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12.95Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.45Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.8% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 27.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 13.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.