← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+11.59vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.13+5.38vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.55+3.00vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.07-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.52+3.49vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.37-0.61vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.75+0.57vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University0.99+2.58vs Predicted
-
10Northwestern University0.70+2.85vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University0.21+3.23vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.62-2.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii1.09-1.91vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.66vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.56-9.29vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.47vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.76-4.46vs Predicted
-
18Boston University0.72-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
7.38Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.0Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
4.61Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
4.22Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
-
9.49Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.39Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.57Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
-
11.58Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.85Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
-
14.23Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
9.48Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
12.42Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 18.3% | 18.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 30.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.