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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.68+3.48vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+1.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+0.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.29+0.27vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-2.09vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.56-2.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-2.94vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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3.61Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.91Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.72Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.06Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sturges | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Urska Kosir | 18.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.4% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| William Simon | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.