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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+2.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.40vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+3.27vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.02+0.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+0.81vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.11vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+0.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-1.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.04vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.10+0.54vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-5.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.21vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.83-8.31vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.48-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Brown University2.229.6%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston2.3815.6%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University1.847.4%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island1.054.7%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University1.425.4%1st Place
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6.03Tulane University2.0211.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University1.597.2%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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9.44Salve Regina University0.463.9%1st Place
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8.5Northeastern University1.225.7%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College0.722.6%1st Place
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12.54Boston University0.101.4%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.3%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.838.3%1st Place
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11.65Maine Maritime Academy0.481.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason Stang | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Benjamin Dufour | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Drew Mastovsky | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Olin Guck | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% |
Beckett Kumler | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
Samantha Gardner | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Mathias Reimer | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
Emil Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
Renato Korzinek | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 33.5% |
Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
Kurt Stuebe | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Zachary York | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.