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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.86vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+7.09vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+2.17vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.20vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+1.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.34vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+2.61vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.21+3.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.99-0.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-3.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-2.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-6.79vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University0.70-4.26vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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14.25Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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12.51Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.74Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.9% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Niah Ford | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 29.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Marina Hutzler | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.