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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+5.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.18vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+1.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+0.17vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+2.28vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+5.56vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+1.74vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.17vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09+1.32vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.21+3.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.14vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.86vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.62-5.08vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-3.02vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.80-0.65vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.72-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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4.47Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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4.17Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.56Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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14.03Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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16.35Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.24Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.0% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Niah Ford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 15.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 58.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.